Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Zibanejad wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.6% vs Pinto 50.7% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 58.0%
Defensive zone
Pinto 67.4%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 55.7%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Zibanejad
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Zibanejad
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Zibanejad
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
50.2% (520)
+3.2%
Power Play
46.2% (39)
68.0% (25)
-21.8%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (141)
49.4% (89)
-4.7%
On power play, Pinto has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Zibanejad is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Zibanejad shoots right. Pinto is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Pinto
Home
49.0% (429)
48.8% (301)
Away
54.1% (521)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Zibanejad
Pinto
P1
53.0%
51.2%
P2
51.1%
48.9%
P3
51.0%
53.3%
OT
60.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.5%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |