Scouting Report
T.J. Oshie holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Zibanejad wins 41.7% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 46.6% vs Oshie 48.5% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Oshie leads 16-10 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Oshie 72.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 81.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 57.2%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Zibanejad
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
16
(26 meetings)
10
16
Zibanejad
Oshie
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
11
Zibanejad
Oshie
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
9
3
Zibanejad
Oshie
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
2
Zibanejad
Oshie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (667)
43.3% (127)
+4.5%
Power Play
51.4% (181)
51.7% (151)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (186)
50.0% (12)
-14.0%
On penalty kill, Oshie has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Zibanejad is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Zibanejad shoots right. Oshie is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Oshie
Home
48.4% (529)
42.1% (164)
Away
44.2% (505)
55.6% (126)
By Period
Zibanejad
Oshie
P1
46.2%
44.7%
P2
47.7%
47.8%
P3
44.8%
52.1%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
37.6%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.3%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 01:42 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 01:50 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 17:15 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 05:54 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 01:57 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 17:27 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 15:54 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |