Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.9% vs Oshie 46.4% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Oshie leads 29-20 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Oshie 92.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 60.4%
Neutral zone
Oshie 72.3%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Zibanejad
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
29
(49 meetings)
20
29
Zibanejad
Oshie
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
2
19
Zibanejad
Oshie
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
16
6
Zibanejad
Oshie
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
2
4
Zibanejad
Oshie
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,719)
45.2% (764)
+5.7%
Power Play
52.2% (1,849)
47.7% (1,221)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (1,790)
40.2% (164)
+1.3%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,681).
Zibanejad shoots right. Oshie is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (478).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Oshie
Home
51.6% (7,566)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
48.3% (7,793)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
Zibanejad
Oshie
P1
50.4%
47.3%
P2
49.7%
45.2%
P3
49.8%
46.7%
OT
48.7%
40.8%
Final 5 min
48.8%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 12:09 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 15:45 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 02:37 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 01:42 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 01:50 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 17:15 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 05:54 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |