Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +21.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.6% vs Zegras 35.4% (+21.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 71.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 80.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 64.9%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Zibanejad
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Zibanejad
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
2
Zibanejad
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
29.6% (230)
+23.8%
Power Play
46.2% (39)
32.1% (56)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (141)
100.0% (1)
-55.3%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +55.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Zibanejad shoots right. Zegras is 29.7% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Zegras
Home
49.0% (429)
30.6% (147)
Away
54.1% (521)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Zibanejad
Zegras
P1
53.0%
33.0%
P2
51.1%
31.7%
P3
51.0%
25.6%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.5%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:51 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:36 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:23 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |