Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.7% vs Zegras 40.4% (+16.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Zibanejad
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Zibanejad
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Zibanejad
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (591)
33.6% (143)
+20.2%
Power Play
47.4% (38)
39.0% (41)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (117)
100.0% (1)
-56.4%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Zibanejad shoots right. Zegras is 35.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Zegras
Home
48.2% (307)
31.6% (98)
Away
54.4% (439)
39.1% (87)
By Period
Zibanejad
Zegras
P1
54.0%
38.9%
P2
51.0%
38.0%
P3
50.6%
27.1%
OT
55.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
29.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:36 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:23 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |