Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.0%). Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Zibanejad wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Johnson 51.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 55.2%
Defensive zone
Johnson 55.1%
Neutral zone
Johnson 54.3%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Zibanejad
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
12
(16 meetings)
4
12
Zibanejad
Johnson
Last 10: Zibanejad 1-9 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
5
Zibanejad
Johnson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
4
Zibanejad
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Zibanejad
Johnson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (767)
51.2% (825)
+1.6%
Power Play
62.6% (107)
56.9% (160)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
28.9% (76)
51.1% (137)
-22.2%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Zibanejad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Zibanejad shoots right. Johnson is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Johnson
Home
51.0% (500)
56.9% (583)
Away
53.1% (450)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Zibanejad
Johnson
P1
54.2%
55.1%
P2
53.6%
53.0%
P3
49.0%
48.8%
OT
37.5%
28.6%
Final 5 min
57.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 12:55 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 09:02 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 1 | 03:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 10:24 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 10:16 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |