Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.5% vs Johnson 50.7% (-1.8%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 73.6%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 81.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 52.7%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Zibanejad
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (1,051)
47.4% (78)
+2.7%
Power Play
58.3% (120)
57.6% (33)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (227)
100.0% (2)
-58.1%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +58.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Zibanejad shoots right. Johnson is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Johnson
Home
49.0% (681)
50.9% (57)
Away
49.9% (717)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Zibanejad
Johnson
P1
49.9%
44.1%
P2
47.6%
59.4%
P3
51.1%
52.3%
OT
48.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%