Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 50.1%). Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Zibanejad wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 50.8% vs Johnson 50.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 61.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 53.0%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 60.6%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Zibanejad
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Zibanejad
Johnson
Last 5: Zibanejad 4-1 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (938)
51.8% (548)
+0.9%
Power Play
49.3% (225)
51.7% (58)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (124)
40.7% (113)
-1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Zibanejad is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (407).
Zibanejad shoots right. Johnson is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Johnson
Home
54.9% (594)
53.6% (371)
Away
47.3% (693)
46.3% (348)
By Period
Zibanejad
Johnson
P1
50.1%
50.9%
P2
49.0%
50.2%
P3
53.0%
48.9%
OT
52.2%
55.6%
Final 5 min
45.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 03:35 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 3 | 03:30 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 06:05 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |