Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.7% vs Johnson 48.9% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 52.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 62.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 61.0%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Zibanejad
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Zibanejad
Johnson
Last 5: Zibanejad 4-1 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
1
Zibanejad
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (1,211)
49.4% (399)
+0.1%
Power Play
52.8% (214)
52.9% (34)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (247)
37.5% (40)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (589).
Zibanejad shoots right. Johnson is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Johnson
Home
52.8% (825)
49.8% (229)
Away
46.6% (848)
47.5% (244)
By Period
Zibanejad
Johnson
P1
50.8%
45.0%
P2
46.5%
49.1%
P3
52.0%
50.3%
OT
48.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2019 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 07:37 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |