Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zibanejad wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 52.2% vs Jost 42.2% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 58.7%
Defensive zone
Jost 69.2%
Neutral zone
Jost 59.4%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Zibanejad
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Zibanejad
Jost
Last 5: Zibanejad 2-3 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad
Jost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
3
Zibanejad
Jost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (955)
40.8% (314)
+13.2%
Power Play
55.6% (243)
37.5% (8)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (140)
39.4% (104)
-4.4%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Zibanejad shoots right. Jost is 36.0% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Jost
Home
55.2% (656)
42.8% (264)
Away
49.6% (682)
36.4% (162)
By Period
Zibanejad
Jost
P1
56.3%
37.4%
P2
50.0%
40.5%
P3
51.2%
43.3%
Final 5 min
47.9%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 06:25 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 2 | 11:13 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |