Chandler Stephenson vs Mikael Backlund
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Stephenson wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Backlund 50.3% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 64.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 81.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 62.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Stephenson
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Stephenson
Backlund
Last 10: Stephenson 3-7 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
1
Stephenson
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
5
Stephenson
Backlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (829)
51.0% (1,205)
+0.6%
Power Play
62.7% (142)
59.3% (108)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (79)
42.3% (234)
+2.0%
On power play, Stephenson has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Stephenson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Stephenson shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Backlund
Home
52.5% (499)
51.2% (782)
Away
52.6% (551)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Stephenson
Backlund
P1
50.2%
51.5%
P2
55.7%
49.8%
P3
50.9%
49.9%
OT
63.6%
37.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 11:54 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 11:44 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 15:18 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 15:03 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 11:23 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 09:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |