Christian Dvorak vs Mikael Backlund
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Backlund 48.5% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 73.3%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 68.5%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 73.3%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Dvorak
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Dvorak
Backlund
Last 7: Dvorak 5-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
1
Dvorak
Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Dvorak
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
50.4% (1,032)
+6.0%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
52.3% (107)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
40.6% (313)
+10.0%
On power play, Dvorak has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Backlund
Home
55.1% (501)
48.7% (749)
Away
56.4% (559)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Dvorak
Backlund
P1
55.8%
50.4%
P2
52.5%
50.1%
P3
58.2%
45.8%
OT
63.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
54.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 08:21 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 09:08 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |