Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.1%). Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perron 49.4% vs Backlund 48.2% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perron 71.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 84.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 60.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Perron
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Perron
Backlund
Last 6: Perron 2-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perron
1
0
Perron
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Perron
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
3
Perron
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perron
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (37)
47.3% (1,070)
+1.3%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
62.1% (140)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
43.9% (269)
-31.4%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +31.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Perron is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Perron shoots right. Backlund is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (569).
Home / Away
Perron
Backlund
Home
50.0% (34)
49.1% (768)
Away
46.9% (32)
47.0% (711)
By Period
Perron
Backlund
P1
50.0%
46.8%
P2
33.3%
47.5%
P3
60.9%
49.3%
OT
50.0%
59.3%
Final 5 min
56.3%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perron
38.0%▼
40.5%
48.5%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | David Perron |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 11:51 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 02:56 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 00:12 | Neutral | David Perron |