Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 45.2% vs Backlund 50.0% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 70.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 76.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.8%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Strome
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Strome
Backlund
Last 6: Strome 3-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
0
Strome
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Strome
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Strome
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (195)
51.1% (1,070)
-9.6%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
50.5% (91)
+7.4%
On even strength, Backlund has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Strome is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Strome shoots left. Backlund is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Home / Away
Strome
Backlund
Home
46.6% (73)
49.3% (702)
Away
41.1% (141)
50.7% (708)
By Period
Strome
Backlund
P1
40.3%
46.3%
P2
48.6%
53.8%
P3
40.0%
49.9%
Final 5 min
44.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
43.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 04:32 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 3 | 09:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |