Johan Larsson vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.0%). Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Backlund 49.0% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 19-10 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 72.5%
Defensive zone
Larsson 51.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 57.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Larsson
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
10
(29 meetings)
19
10
Larsson
Backlund
Last 10: Larsson 8-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
4
2
Larsson
Backlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
10
2
Larsson
Backlund
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
5
6
Larsson
Backlund
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
49.7% (13,410)
+0.8%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
51.6% (1,336)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
44.0% (2,446)
-0.2%
On power play, Backlund has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Home / Away
Larsson
Backlund
Home
51.2% (2,493)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Larsson
Backlund
P1
51.6%
48.5%
P2
49.7%
50.3%
P3
47.2%
48.4%
OT
52.3%
44.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 14:25 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 06:32 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 02:25 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 00:44 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 3 | 17:12 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 2 | 00:09 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 06:51 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 08:02 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 05:10 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 02:13 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |