Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dach wins 31.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 35.5% vs Backlund 50.5% (-17.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 76.5%
Defensive zone
Dach 80.1%
Neutral zone
Dach 79.5%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Dach
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Dach
Backlund
Last 7: Dach 1-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dach
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Dach
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Dach
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
32.5% (510)
51.5% (983)
-19.0%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
49.4% (87)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
45.3% (159)
-7.8%
On even strength, Backlund has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Dach is 31.7% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Dach shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Dach
Backlund
Home
33.5% (278)
51.6% (653)
Away
32.2% (267)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Dach
Backlund
P1
35.3%
50.0%
P2
30.6%
49.8%
P3
33.7%
51.7%
OT
0.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
38.6%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
44.0%▬
43.5%
32.8%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 09:08 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 07:03 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |