Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 49.0%). Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Okposo 48.7% vs Backlund 49.0% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Okposo 75.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 71.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.4%
Result
Kyle Okposo favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Okposo
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
12
(23 meetings)
11
12
Okposo
Backlund
Last 10: Okposo 6-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
7
3
Okposo
Backlund
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
7
Okposo
Backlund
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Okposo
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Okposo
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,513)
49.7% (13,410)
-0.6%
Power Play
50.1% (391)
51.6% (1,336)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (151)
44.0% (2,446)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Okposo is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,523).
Okposo shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,244).
Home / Away
Okposo
Backlund
Home
50.2% (990)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
47.1% (1,065)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Okposo
Backlund
P1
48.8%
48.5%
P2
49.6%
50.3%
P3
47.3%
48.4%
OT
48.7%
44.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 01:21 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 18:49 | Neutral | Kyle Okposo |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 04:40 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 3 | 01:03 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 3 | 00:57 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 3 | 00:09 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |