Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cooley on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cooley wins 36.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 39.5% vs Backlund 50.3% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 62.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 87.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 78.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 74.8%
25.2%
74.8%
Cooley
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Cooley
Backlund
Last 8: Cooley 5-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
2
1
Cooley
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cooley
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cooley
2
1
Cooley
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (634)
51.0% (1,205)
-13.0%
Power Play
44.7% (38)
59.3% (108)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
23.5% (17)
42.3% (234)
-18.8%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Cooley is 36.9% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Cooley shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Cooley
Backlund
Home
37.7% (332)
51.2% (782)
Away
38.4% (357)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Cooley
Backlund
P1
39.1%
51.5%
P2
37.8%
49.8%
P3
36.2%
49.9%
OT
100.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
33.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
46.0%▲
40.5%
38.0%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 09:47 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:17 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 09:27 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 13:44 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |