Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.4% vs Backlund 50.3% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 66.5%
Defensive zone
Kunin 58.5%
Neutral zone
Kunin 65.9%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Kunin
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kunin
Backlund
Last 7: Kunin 2-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Kunin
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
3
Kunin
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
0
Kunin
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (366)
51.0% (1,205)
-2.1%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
59.3% (108)
-24.7%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (88)
42.3% (234)
-7.1%
On power play, Backlund has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Kunin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (375).
Kunin shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Kunin
Backlund
Home
45.7% (245)
51.2% (782)
Away
45.5% (235)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Kunin
Backlund
P1
46.5%
51.5%
P2
45.0%
49.8%
P3
44.9%
49.9%
OT
100.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
41.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
45.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2024 | 1 | 12:13 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |