Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Backlund wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 47.4% vs Thompson 51.7% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 77.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 74.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 72.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Backlund
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Backlund
Thompson
Last 10: Backlund 2-8 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
5
Backlund
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Backlund
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Backlund
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (912)
53.2% (380)
-4.5%
Power Play
46.3% (82)
50.0% (16)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (149)
45.5% (55)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Backlund is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Backlund shoots left. Thompson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Backlund
Thompson
Home
48.2% (596)
53.9% (243)
Away
46.1% (547)
50.0% (208)
By Period
Backlund
Thompson
P1
49.3%
46.9%
P2
44.7%
62.2%
P3
47.0%
47.5%
OT
72.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.2%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2016 | 3 | 11:40 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 2 | 03:19 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 2 | 12:47 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |