Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Thompson 54.3% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 54.5%
Defensive zone
Thompson 78.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 70.8%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Backlund
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Backlund
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
55.5% (236)
-4.0%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
60.0% (5)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
56.5% (46)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Backlund shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Backlund
Thompson
Home
51.6% (653)
53.1% (128)
Away
49.3% (576)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Backlund
Thompson
P1
50.0%
59.0%
P2
49.8%
55.4%
P3
51.7%
52.6%
Final 5 min
50.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 18:01 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |