Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 51.7% vs Thompson 50.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 67.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 57.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Backlund
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Backlund
Thompson
Last 5: Backlund 3-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Backlund
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Backlund
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (602)
49.6% (230)
+3.6%
Power Play
56.1% (66)
50.0% (2)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (77)
53.8% (52)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (521).
Backlund shoots left. Thompson is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Backlund
Thompson
Home
51.5% (400)
52.2% (134)
Away
52.5% (345)
48.7% (150)
By Period
Backlund
Thompson
P1
50.0%
54.5%
P2
56.4%
48.0%
P3
48.9%
48.2%
Final 5 min
51.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 01:57 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 15:09 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 05:33 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |