Mikael Backlund vs Nicklas Backstrom
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Backstrom 51.1% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 65.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 75.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Backlund
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Backlund
Backstrom
Last 7: Backlund 5-2 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Backstrom
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
1
Backlund
Backstrom
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
53.2% (77)
-2.2%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
50.0% (6)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
0.0% (1)
+42.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +42.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Backlund shoots left. Backstrom is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Backlund
Backstrom
Home
51.2% (782)
54.5% (55)
Away
49.4% (765)
48.3% (29)
By Period
Backlund
Backstrom
P1
51.5%
50.0%
P2
49.8%
52.9%
P3
49.9%
55.0%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2023 | OT | 02:38 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:34 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:55 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:51 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |