Mikael Backlund vs Patrice Bergeron
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 62.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 72.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 73.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Backlund
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Backlund
Bergeron
Last 10: Backlund 5-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
5
Backlund
Bergeron
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Backlund
Bergeron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
62.5% (1,109)
-10.6%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
62.2% (352)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
53.5% (245)
-9.2%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Backlund shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Home / Away
Backlund
Bergeron
Home
51.9% (673)
61.9% (917)
Away
49.9% (713)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Backlund
Bergeron
P1
51.4%
60.8%
P2
50.5%
60.3%
P3
51.4%
63.0%
OT
35.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
50.2%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:23 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 07:00 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 16:23 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 03:43 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 17:53 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 08:08 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |