Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Backlund wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 47.7% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 89.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 64.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 79.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Backlund
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Backlund
Gaustad
Last 10: Backlund 2-8 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
8
Backlund
Gaustad
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Backlund
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (1,002)
59.3% (913)
-12.1%
Power Play
46.7% (150)
72.2% (18)
-25.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (170)
52.8% (269)
-2.8%
On power play, Gaustad has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Backlund is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Backlund shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Backlund
Gaustad
Home
48.3% (633)
58.6% (604)
Away
46.7% (689)
57.4% (596)
By Period
Backlund
Gaustad
P1
49.2%
61.5%
P2
48.9%
55.7%
P3
45.4%
56.6%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.5%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2014 | 3 | 11:01 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 1 | 13:32 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 15:34 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 13:43 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |