Mikael Backlund vs Paul Gaustad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (84% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 20-11 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 87.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 76.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 81.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Backlund
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
20
(31 meetings)
11
20
Backlund
Gaustad
Last 10: Backlund 3-7 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
6
0
Backlund
Gaustad
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
3
16
Backlund
Gaustad
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
4
Backlund
Gaustad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,410)
58.2% (4,334)
-8.5%
Power Play
51.6% (1,336)
65.4% (188)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,446)
54.8% (1,290)
-10.8%
On power play, Gaustad has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Backlund shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Backlund
Gaustad
Home
49.7% (8,565)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Backlund
Gaustad
P1
48.5%
58.2%
P2
50.3%
56.4%
P3
48.4%
58.3%
OT
44.1%
66.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2016 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 2 | 13:20 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 2 | 10:53 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 12:31 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 09:59 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 09:46 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 03:20 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 3 | 05:41 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 08:55 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 08:46 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 3 | 11:01 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |