Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Backlund wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Kupari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Kupari 47.9% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 56.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 77.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 61.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Backlund
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Backlund
Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
1
Backlund
Kupari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
47.2% (144)
+3.8%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
0.0% (1)
+59.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
45.5% (22)
-3.2%
On power play, Backlund has a +59.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Backlund shoots left. Kupari is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Backlund
Kupari
Home
51.2% (782)
48.3% (87)
Away
49.4% (765)
45.0% (80)
By Period
Backlund
Kupari
P1
51.5%
48.5%
P2
49.8%
41.3%
P3
49.9%
49.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:11 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:25 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |