Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Nash 51.7% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 70.6%
Defensive zone
Nash 60.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Backlund
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Backlund
Nash
Last 5: Backlund 2-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Backlund
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Backlund
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
54.1% (292)
-2.6%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
57.1% (7)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
45.9% (98)
-0.6%
On power play, Nash has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Backlund shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Backlund
Nash
Home
51.6% (653)
56.3% (183)
Away
49.3% (576)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Backlund
Nash
P1
50.0%
58.9%
P2
49.8%
51.0%
P3
51.7%
46.5%
OT
53.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 2 | 04:14 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Riley Nash |