Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Sheahan 47.5% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 80.5%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 52.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 59.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Backlund
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Backlund
Sheahan
Last 8: Backlund 5-3 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
5
1
Backlund
Sheahan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
1
Backlund
Sheahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
1
Backlund
Sheahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
50.7% (357)
+0.8%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
50.0% (8)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
40.2% (194)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Backlund shoots left. Sheahan is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Backlund
Sheahan
Home
51.6% (653)
44.8% (248)
Away
49.3% (576)
48.9% (311)
By Period
Backlund
Sheahan
P1
50.0%
46.2%
P2
49.8%
50.5%
P3
51.7%
44.7%
OT
53.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 08:01 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 10:57 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 10:53 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |