Mikael Backlund vs Ryan Carpenter
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.4%). Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Carpenter leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 62.0%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 53.4%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 52.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Backlund
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Backlund
Carpenter
Last 10: Backlund 4-6 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
10
5
Backlund
Carpenter
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
4
Backlund
Carpenter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
2
Backlund
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,410)
49.6% (2,027)
+0.1%
Power Play
51.6% (1,336)
41.5% (41)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,446)
43.9% (467)
+0.1%
On power play, Backlund has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,244).
Backlund shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Backlund
Carpenter
Home
49.7% (8,565)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Backlund
Carpenter
P1
48.5%
49.6%
P2
50.3%
47.7%
P3
48.4%
48.0%
OT
44.1%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 19:40 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 04:03 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 08:55 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 10:18 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 15:00 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 1 | 10:59 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 1 | 04:20 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 12:59 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |