Mikael Backlund vs Ryan Carpenter
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Backlund wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Carpenter 48.2% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 63.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 63.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Backlund
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Backlund
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Carpenter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Backlund
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
48.8% (404)
+2.2%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
100.0% (1)
-40.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
43.6% (101)
-1.3%
On power play, Carpenter has a +40.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Backlund shoots left. Carpenter is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Backlund
Carpenter
Home
51.2% (782)
48.9% (274)
Away
49.4% (765)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Backlund
Carpenter
P1
51.5%
51.9%
P2
49.8%
49.4%
P3
49.9%
41.8%
OT
37.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 19:40 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |