Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.2% vs Johansen 54.3% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 69.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 92.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 78.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Backlund
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
12
(16 meetings)
4
12
Backlund
Johansen
Last 10: Backlund 2-8 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
5
Backlund
Johansen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
3
Backlund
Johansen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
4
Backlund
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (1,070)
54.0% (1,251)
-6.7%
Power Play
62.1% (140)
58.9% (158)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (269)
55.6% (63)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Backlund is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (569).
Backlund shoots left. Johansen is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Backlund
Johansen
Home
49.1% (768)
56.3% (746)
Away
47.0% (711)
52.8% (726)
By Period
Backlund
Johansen
P1
46.8%
54.0%
P2
47.5%
53.8%
P3
49.3%
55.7%
OT
59.3%
59.1%
Final 5 min
45.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 03:06 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 16:07 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 14:16 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 06:29 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 00:46 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 2 | 11:28 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 2 | 11:23 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 1 | 11:17 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 1 | 03:00 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |