Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.6% vs Johansen 53.3% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 14-3 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 59.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 77.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 67.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Backlund
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
14
(17 meetings)
3
14
Backlund
Johansen
Last 10: Backlund 2-8 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
4
Backlund
Johansen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
9
Backlund
Johansen
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (884)
54.7% (1,149)
-5.5%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
49.7% (191)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
57.0% (86)
47.9% (121)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Backlund is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (377).
Backlund shoots left. Johansen is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Home / Away
Backlund
Johansen
Home
49.3% (531)
52.5% (739)
Away
49.8% (500)
54.6% (722)
By Period
Backlund
Johansen
P1
47.1%
53.8%
P2
53.7%
55.8%
P3
47.8%
51.2%
OT
40.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
43.7%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2018 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 3 | 14:18 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 3 | 05:53 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 3 | 05:45 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 1 | 18:43 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 1 | 03:29 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 04:24 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 16:17 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 16:11 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |