Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (58% H2H, 45 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Kesler 55.9% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 73-56 in 129 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 83.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 65.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 79.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Backlund
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
56
-
73
(129 meetings)
56
73
Backlund
Kesler
Last 10: Backlund 4-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
17
22
Backlund
Kesler
39 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
20
25
Backlund
Kesler
45 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
19
26
Backlund
Kesler
45 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,410)
56.4% (8,095)
-6.7%
Power Play
51.6% (1,336)
60.7% (1,437)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,446)
50.5% (1,908)
-6.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,244).
Backlund shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Backlund
Kesler
Home
49.7% (8,565)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Backlund
Kesler
P1
48.5%
56.5%
P2
50.3%
55.9%
P3
48.4%
56.1%
OT
44.1%
46.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2018 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 3 | 14:39 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 3 | 07:36 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 09:40 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 17:11 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 08:22 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 10:46 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 09:35 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 09:31 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 16:09 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 06:16 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |