Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 46.1% vs Koivu 52.2% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 64.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 59.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 58.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Backlund
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Backlund
Koivu
Last 8: Backlund 3-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Backlund
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Backlund
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (410)
52.2% (805)
-6.3%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
59.9% (152)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (56)
49.0% (239)
-6.1%
On power play, Koivu has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Backlund is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (306).
Backlund shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Backlund
Koivu
Home
49.3% (217)
54.0% (639)
Away
42.3% (279)
50.7% (594)
By Period
Backlund
Koivu
P1
44.0%
52.7%
P2
49.4%
50.4%
P3
42.8%
54.1%
OT
40.0%
47.8%
Final 5 min
41.2%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
45.4%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2012 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 12, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 15:54 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 05:22 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |