Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Koivu 51.8% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 18-14 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 54.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 50.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Backlund
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
18
(32 meetings)
14
18
Backlund
Koivu
Last 10: Backlund 6-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
6
4
Backlund
Koivu
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
7
Backlund
Koivu
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
7
Backlund
Koivu
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,410)
51.9% (3,221)
-2.2%
Power Play
51.6% (1,336)
59.3% (437)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,446)
48.0% (764)
-4.0%
On power play, Koivu has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Backlund shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Backlund
Koivu
Home
49.7% (8,565)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Backlund
Koivu
P1
48.5%
51.1%
P2
50.3%
52.6%
P3
48.4%
51.8%
OT
44.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2014 | 2 | 03:53 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 14:45 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 07:35 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 3 | 08:35 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 1 | 19:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 12:50 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 12, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |