Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.1% vs Koivu 51.2% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 64.2%
Defensive zone
Koivu 50.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 56.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Backlund
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Backlund
Koivu
Last 6: Backlund 2-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
4
Backlund
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (357)
52.5% (631)
-5.2%
Power Play
55.0% (40)
49.3% (73)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
47.6% (147)
-17.6%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Backlund is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Backlund shoots left. Koivu is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Backlund
Koivu
Home
45.0% (211)
51.3% (431)
Away
50.5% (196)
51.4% (420)
By Period
Backlund
Koivu
P1
47.6%
51.9%
P2
53.0%
52.9%
P3
41.2%
49.8%
OT
100.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
52.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.7%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 12:50 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |