Mikael Backlund vs Samuel Helenius
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Helenius on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs Helenius 47.4% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helenius 69.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 63.6%
Neutral zone
Helenius 55.9%
Result
Samuel Helenius favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Backlund
Helenius
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Backlund
Helenius
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Helenius
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helenius
0
3
Backlund
Helenius
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Helenius
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (891)
46.8% (201)
+3.3%
Power Play
53.1% (64)
0.0% (1)
+53.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (278)
25.0% (4)
+22.8%
On power play, Backlund has a +53.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helenius shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Backlund shoots left. Helenius is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Backlund
Helenius
Home
48.1% (580)
48.0% (98)
Away
51.1% (653)
44.4% (108)
By Period
Backlund
Helenius
P1
45.1%
51.9%
P2
54.7%
37.9%
P3
49.0%
47.6%
Final 5 min
47.2%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Helenius
48.0%▬
47.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 16:01 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:16 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:10 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |