Mikael Backlund vs Sean Couturier
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Couturier 55.6% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 83.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 67.1%
Neutral zone
Couturier 62.4%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Backlund
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Backlund
Couturier
Last 9: Backlund 5-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Backlund
Couturier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
1
Backlund
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
55.1% (1,008)
-4.7%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
64.1% (142)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
53.3% (45)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Backlund shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Backlund
Couturier
Home
48.7% (749)
58.1% (609)
Away
48.1% (703)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Backlund
Couturier
P1
50.4%
55.3%
P2
50.1%
55.8%
P3
45.8%
57.4%
OT
30.8%
45.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 07:30 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:42 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 10:07 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:52 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 07:05 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |