Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Backlund wins 60.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 51.7% vs Pinto 45.2% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 50.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 54.2%
Neutral zone
Pinto 52.3%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Backlund
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Backlund
Pinto
Last 5: Backlund 2-3 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
3
Backlund
Pinto
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (602)
40.9% (88)
+12.3%
Power Play
56.1% (66)
60.0% (5)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (77)
35.3% (17)
+3.7%
On even strength, Backlund has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Backlund is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Backlund shoots left. Pinto is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
Backlund
Pinto
Home
51.5% (400)
39.6% (48)
Away
52.5% (345)
41.9% (62)
By Period
Backlund
Pinto
P1
50.0%
37.0%
P2
56.4%
48.6%
P3
48.9%
37.9%
Final 5 min
51.8%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2021 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| May 9, 2021 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| May 9, 2021 | 2 | 07:20 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 12:44 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |