Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs Pinto 50.7% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 57.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 61.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 56.9%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Backlund
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Backlund
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Backlund
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (891)
50.2% (520)
-0.1%
Power Play
53.1% (64)
68.0% (25)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (278)
49.4% (89)
-1.6%
On power play, Pinto has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Backlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Backlund shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Backlund
Pinto
Home
48.1% (580)
48.8% (301)
Away
51.1% (653)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Backlund
Pinto
P1
45.1%
51.2%
P2
54.7%
48.9%
P3
49.0%
53.3%
OT
46.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.2%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |