Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dries on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Dries 49.9% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dries 61.3%
Defensive zone
Dries 52.7%
Neutral zone
Dries 52.5%
Result
Sheldon Dries favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Backlund
Dries
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Backlund
Dries
Last 6: Backlund 2-4 Dries
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Dries
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dries
0
2
Backlund
Dries
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dries
1
2
Backlund
Dries
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Dries
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
49.1% (401)
+2.8%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
55.0% (60)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
50.0% (10)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Dries has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dries shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Backlund shoots left. Dries is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Backlund
Dries
Home
51.9% (673)
54.3% (265)
Away
49.9% (713)
44.2% (206)
By Period
Backlund
Dries
P1
51.4%
45.8%
P2
50.5%
54.3%
P3
51.4%
49.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Dries
40.0%▼
49.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 18:39 | Defensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 10:42 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 2 | 09:14 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 2 | 09:00 | Neutral | Sheldon Dries |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 1 | 01:14 | Neutral | Sheldon Dries |