Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs Crosby 55.5% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 20-12 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 53.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 94.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 72.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Backlund
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
20
(32 meetings)
12
20
Backlund
Crosby
Last 10: Backlund 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
11
Backlund
Crosby
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
7
2
Backlund
Crosby
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
7
Backlund
Crosby
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (891)
53.7% (984)
-3.6%
Power Play
53.1% (64)
64.7% (241)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (278)
64.3% (14)
-16.5%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Backlund shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Backlund
Crosby
Home
48.1% (580)
56.9% (649)
Away
51.1% (653)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Backlund
Crosby
P1
45.1%
55.8%
P2
54.7%
53.2%
P3
49.0%
58.7%
OT
46.2%
54.2%
Final 5 min
47.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 14:55 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:13 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 14:59 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 18:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 18:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |