Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Crosby 52.3% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 77.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 67.1%
Neutral zone
Crosby 54.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Backlund
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Backlund
Crosby
Last 10: Backlund 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
4
Backlund
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
0
Backlund
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
50.8% (1,169)
+0.7%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
60.2% (261)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
45.0% (20)
+0.3%
On power play, Crosby has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Backlund shoots left. Crosby is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Home / Away
Backlund
Crosby
Home
51.6% (653)
53.2% (726)
Away
49.3% (576)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Backlund
Crosby
P1
50.0%
51.3%
P2
49.8%
52.1%
P3
51.7%
54.1%
OT
53.3%
45.8%
Final 5 min
50.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 07:52 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 03:07 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 18:51 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 00:05 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |