Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.6% vs Crosby 55.1% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 88.2%
Defensive zone
Crosby 64.9%
Neutral zone
Crosby 73.7%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 82.0%
18.0%
82.0%
Backlund
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Backlund
Crosby
Last 7: Backlund 5-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Backlund
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (884)
54.7% (1,423)
-5.5%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
62.1% (327)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
57.0% (86)
40.8% (76)
+16.2%
On power play, Crosby has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Backlund is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Backlund shoots left. Crosby is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,229).
Home / Away
Backlund
Crosby
Home
49.3% (531)
56.2% (907)
Away
49.8% (500)
54.6% (919)
By Period
Backlund
Crosby
P1
47.1%
55.7%
P2
53.7%
55.0%
P3
47.8%
54.9%
OT
40.0%
70.4%
Final 5 min
43.7%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.6%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 18:57 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 09:19 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 00:22 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 04:58 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |