Mikael Backlund vs Stephane Da Costa
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Costa on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Costa 43.5% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Costa 56.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 84.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 73.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Backlund
Costa
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Backlund
Costa
Last 5: Backlund 3-2 Costa
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Costa
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Costa
1
2
Backlund
Costa
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Costa
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,410)
41.9% (279)
+7.8%
Power Play
51.6% (1,336)
39.7% (58)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,446)
66.7% (3)
-22.7%
On penalty kill, Costa has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Costa shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,244).
Backlund shoots left. Costa is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (235).
Home / Away
Backlund
Costa
Home
49.7% (8,565)
46.6% (148)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
37.8% (193)
By Period
Backlund
Costa
P1
48.5%
39.3%
P2
50.3%
45.5%
P3
48.4%
41.9%
OT
44.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Costa
44.0%▬
43.5%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Stephane Da Costa |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 1 | 09:22 | Neutral | Stephane Da Costa |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 1 | 04:08 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |