Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.1% vs Ott 55.4% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 60.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 62.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 62.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Backlund
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Backlund
Ott
Last 10: Backlund 4-6 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
2
Backlund
Ott
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Backlund
Ott
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Backlund
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,231)
57.2% (2,802)
-7.5%
Power Play
51.5% (1,323)
55.4% (567)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (2,385)
49.9% (853)
-6.0%
On even strength, Ott has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,786).
Backlund shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Backlund
Ott
Home
49.8% (8,434)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
48.3% (8,510)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Backlund
Ott
P1
48.6%
56.7%
P2
50.3%
53.9%
P3
48.4%
55.7%
OT
44.3%
60.8%
Final 5 min
48.6%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
49.1%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2015 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 10:57 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 06:46 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 21, 2011 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |