Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Ott 55.4% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 60.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 63.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 61.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Backlund
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Backlund
Ott
Last 10: Backlund 4-6 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
2
Backlund
Ott
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Backlund
Ott
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Backlund
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,410)
57.2% (2,802)
-7.5%
Power Play
51.6% (1,336)
55.4% (567)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,446)
49.9% (853)
-5.9%
On even strength, Ott has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Backlund shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Backlund
Ott
Home
49.7% (8,565)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Backlund
Ott
P1
48.5%
56.7%
P2
50.3%
53.9%
P3
48.4%
55.7%
OT
44.1%
60.8%
Final 5 min
48.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2015 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 10:57 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 06:46 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 21, 2011 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |