Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lewis on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 47.4% vs Lewis 42.9% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 58.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 82.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Backlund
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Backlund
Lewis
Last 5: Backlund 3-2 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Lewis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
1
2
Backlund
Lewis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (912)
41.4% (198)
+7.3%
Power Play
46.3% (82)
64.3% (14)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (149)
26.7% (45)
+11.6%
On power play, Lewis has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Backlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Backlund shoots left. Lewis is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Backlund
Lewis
Home
48.2% (596)
41.0% (134)
Away
46.1% (547)
39.0% (123)
By Period
Backlund
Lewis
P1
49.3%
40.0%
P2
44.7%
38.2%
P3
47.0%
42.1%
OT
72.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.2%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 3 | 12:50 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |