Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Backlund wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Lewis 44.4% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 66.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 60.1%
Neutral zone
Lewis 53.6%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Backlund
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Backlund
Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Lewis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
Backlund
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
45.7% (210)
+5.3%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
71.4% (7)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
33.7% (95)
+8.6%
On power play, Lewis has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Backlund shoots left. Lewis is 38.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Backlund
Lewis
Home
51.2% (782)
48.8% (166)
Away
49.4% (765)
35.6% (146)
By Period
Backlund
Lewis
P1
51.5%
37.9%
P2
49.8%
46.7%
P3
49.9%
42.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 12:02 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 16:25 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |